Global Trends 2040
Heighten Competition. Climate change and environmental degradation will contribute to and reflect a more contested geopolitical environment. Countries and other actors are likely to compete over food, mineral, water, and energy sources made more accessible, more valuable, or scarcer. Receding Arctic sea ice is opening new sea routes and opportunities to access valuable resources there, including natural gas and oil deposits, rare earth metals, and fish stocks. Russia is building more icebreakers to patrol its northern coastline and project power as an Arctic leader, and even non-coastal states like China and India are seeking to take advantage of shorter trade routes and resources. In addition, China is trying to boost its international image by claiming to be a leader on climate diplomacy despite its growing emissions—already the highest in the world.(page 48 on Global Trends 2040 by National Intelligence Council USA)
There are several key challenges on Global Trends 2040 which shows that some of the challenges were the eroding factors of human securities. Such as food, water, energy security, human health, more migrations, and loss of human capitals.
This eroding factors of human securities are interacting with environmental degradation and climate changes, that can cause several problems ahead if not mitigated in a proper manner with the help of societal and governmental changes. (Gina Al ilmi for Dreamarks 2024).
